Distribution and Pattern of an Insurance Health Claim System: A Time Series Approach
There is a continuous increase in health costs, thereby increasing pressure on individuals and consequently making the amounts claimed by the insured to be on the increase. In this study, data was collected from a large local insurance company in Zimbabwe for the period from January 2012 to Decem...
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Main Authors: | , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
College of Natural and Applied Sciences, University of Dar es Salaam
2022
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.4314/tjs.v48i1.2 http://hdl.handle.net/11408/5083 |
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Summary: | There is a continuous increase in health costs, thereby increasing pressure on individuals and
consequently making the amounts claimed by the insured to be on the increase. In this study,
data was collected from a large local insurance company in Zimbabwe for the period from
January 2012 to December 2016. The aim of this study was to analyse the distribution and
future pattern of insurance health claim system using time series approach. Akaike information
criterion and Schwarz Bayesian criterion were used to select the adequate model through
maximum likelihood estimation methods. ARIMA (0, 0, 0) (1, 0, 1) [12] is the model that was
chosen to forecast claim amounts. The use of ARIMA models proves to be an excellent
instrument for predicting and capturing the cost trend of health claims which can help in
decision making to insurance companies |
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