A cointegration approach to analysis of domestic debt sustainability in Zimbabwe

A cointergration approach is applied to assess the sustainability of Zimbabwe's domestic debt stock over the period 1980 to 2007. This is done by examining the time series properties of the public expenditure, public revenue and budget deficit variables. Utilizing data for the period 1980-2007...

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Main Authors: Chikoko, Laurine, Mupunga, Nebson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: African Integration Review 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/11408/1418
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author Chikoko, Laurine
Mupunga, Nebson
author_facet Chikoko, Laurine
Mupunga, Nebson
author_sort Chikoko, Laurine
collection DSpace
description A cointergration approach is applied to assess the sustainability of Zimbabwe's domestic debt stock over the period 1980 to 2007. This is done by examining the time series properties of the public expenditure, public revenue and budget deficit variables. Utilizing data for the period 1980-2007 and allowing for a structural break in 2001, the results from time series analysis reveal that public expenditure and public revenue are 1(1) and not cointegrated As a result, Zimbabwe's domestic debt was considered unsustainable. The immediate policy implication is, therefore, the need to ensure a robust economic growth over the next five years to broaden the tax base. Government expenditure can not be reduced since it is currently at precarious levels, with uncompetitive civil service wages compared to regional and international standards.
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spelling ir-11408-14182022-06-27T13:49:06Z A cointegration approach to analysis of domestic debt sustainability in Zimbabwe Chikoko, Laurine Mupunga, Nebson Cointergration approach, domestic debt stock, Zimbabwe A cointergration approach is applied to assess the sustainability of Zimbabwe's domestic debt stock over the period 1980 to 2007. This is done by examining the time series properties of the public expenditure, public revenue and budget deficit variables. Utilizing data for the period 1980-2007 and allowing for a structural break in 2001, the results from time series analysis reveal that public expenditure and public revenue are 1(1) and not cointegrated As a result, Zimbabwe's domestic debt was considered unsustainable. The immediate policy implication is, therefore, the need to ensure a robust economic growth over the next five years to broaden the tax base. Government expenditure can not be reduced since it is currently at precarious levels, with uncompetitive civil service wages compared to regional and international standards. 2016-05-19T14:05:54Z 2016-05-19T14:05:54Z 2012 Article http://hdl.handle.net/11408/1418 en African Integration Review;Vol. 5, No. 2; p. 1-25 open African Integration Review
spellingShingle Cointergration approach, domestic debt stock, Zimbabwe
Chikoko, Laurine
Mupunga, Nebson
A cointegration approach to analysis of domestic debt sustainability in Zimbabwe
title A cointegration approach to analysis of domestic debt sustainability in Zimbabwe
title_full A cointegration approach to analysis of domestic debt sustainability in Zimbabwe
title_fullStr A cointegration approach to analysis of domestic debt sustainability in Zimbabwe
title_full_unstemmed A cointegration approach to analysis of domestic debt sustainability in Zimbabwe
title_short A cointegration approach to analysis of domestic debt sustainability in Zimbabwe
title_sort cointegration approach to analysis of domestic debt sustainability in zimbabwe
topic Cointergration approach, domestic debt stock, Zimbabwe
url http://hdl.handle.net/11408/1418
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AT mupunganebson acointegrationapproachtoanalysisofdomesticdebtsustainabilityinzimbabwe
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